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Another Failed Rally: SPX, Nasdaq, YHOO, MSFT, BIDU, AAPL, GS, STI, PRU, MA, SVNT, CELG

The market started out cheerfully, with techs leading the way. MSFT today said that it would reopen talks to buy YHOO if a new board is elected. YHOO jumped +12%!! BIDU also did well, adding almost $12. AAPL looked strong as well, gaining almost +3%.

But, the financials stayed weak, and, soon dragged the whole market lower. GS sank more than 5%. STI and PRU (both mentioned in the Sector Watch this weekend) broke down further, losing 9.11% and 2.71%, respectively. MA went as low as $243.34, but, bounced back to close at $246.1, down 3%. It still looks like it could hit $240 soon to fill the gap.

In the biotech sector, CELG continued to sail higher, adding +2.7%. It looks like it could go higher from here. Its all-time high is at $75.44 set in October 2007. SVNT went up almost +6% today and could be setting up for a breakout (we have a position in this).

The market saw some violent tugs between the bulls and the bears, swinging from one side to another. The Dow ended down 56.58 points; SPX lost 10.59 points; Nasdaq slid 2.06 points:
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VIX added almost +4% to close at 25.78. HGX (housing) was down 2.7% and XLF (financials) tumbled 3.31%. XLE (energy) slipped 2.51% and OIH (oil services) lost 2.33%. FXI (Chinese ADRs) managed pick up +2.21%.

SPX
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SPX lost 10.59 points to close at 1252.31. Its daily MAs and MACD continued lower.

Nasdaq
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Nasdaq slid 2.06 points to close at 2243.32. Its daily MAs and MACD also went lower.

This market is still weak. It gapped up at the open, but, ended with a loss. Like I’ve saying for a while now, until the financials establish a bottom, it is very difficult for the overall market to find sustainable strength. XLF pushed lower on a new leg down. However, we are also seeing violent swings. So, trades seem to go pretty quickly. I’m still almost 75% in cash; perhaps, it is the safer place to be. Earnings season is going to start to heat up though. There could be some very good opportunities coming. AA, which has been driven down quite a bit in June, reports tomorrow. This could be a mover for the metals and mining sector, as in just 3 days, XME gave up the gains that it had accumulated in the past 2 months! Standing by with cash.

Good night and HappyTrading! ™


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