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Market Forecast for Week of 1/7 (Part II): Sector Watch

XLF (financials)
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XLF continues to be weak. $26 is the next support if it doesn’t bounce back above $28. We need to see this sector finding a bottom if the broader market were to have sustainable strength.

GLD/GDX (gold/gold miners)
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GLD continues to look very strong with room to go higher.

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GDX has just caught its daily upper BB. With gold charging up, gold miners seem to be looking to go higher also. ABX, mentioned last weekend, has broken out to a new ATH (all-time high) this week. Now, AU and NEM are shaping up really well.

USO/OIH (oil/oil services)
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Is oil done going up? In my opinion, no! USO’s daily chart is showing a new bullish formation just forming (20-day MA just peeking above the 30-day MA).

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Although oil and OIH don’t always trade in sync, with oil still showing room to go up, OIH may also demonstrate strength. Or, at least, OIH could be sustained in a range, even if the broader market is weak. Its daily chart is still showing a bullish phase.

PBW (clean energy)
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PBW has been going up and up as the solar stocks keep charging to new heights. But, it finally started to deflate a little in weak market conditions. If the broader market still can’t find its footings, PBW could have some distance to fall.

INX2 (Internet)
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INX2 has caught its daily lower BB and its daily MAs have turned lower. Any continuation on this drop could push the daily MAs into a new bearish formation. If the market continues to be weak, this sector could be one of the leaders in further slides. Watch out GOOG!

MOO (Agriculture)
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MOO, a relatively young ETF, reached a new ATH this week. MON reported strong earnings this week and the sector rallied in weak market conditions. If the market makes any bounce, this sector could present a more comfortable zone for the buyers. MOS reports on 1/9 (Wednesday) before the market opens.

Good night and HappyTrading! ™


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